Event class: elections, seat, party, election, elected, list, candidate, parliament, lost, knesset

Events with high posterior probability

Anne McTaggart	The seat was previously held by SNP MSP Bill Kidd, who resigned the seat in April 2009 to focus on his parliamentary activities by ending his dual mandate as councillor and MSP.
Amnon Cohen	He retained his seat in the 2009 elections after being placed fourth on the Shas list.
Rachel Cohen-Kagan	In the first Knesset election in 1949 WIZO won a single seat, which was taken by Cohen-Kagan.
Elise Boot	For this party she was number 23 on the ballot in the 2003 parliamentary elections, but she did not receive enough votes to take a seat.
Said Nafa	Nafa did not contest the 2013 elections and subsequently lost his Knesset seat.
William Benyon	Benyon joined the Conservative Monday Club prior to 1970, when he was elected as Member of Parliament for Buckingham at the 1970 general election, and retained his seat at the next three elections.
Mark McDonald	McDonald was elected to the Scottish Parliament in the 2011 election from the North East Scotland regional list with the SNP taking 52.
Jim Bollan	He was selected as the no. 1 candidate for the SSP in the West Scotland region for the Scottish Parliament election, 2011, but failed to win the seat.
Ougoureh Kifleh Ahmed	He was also re-elected in the February 2008 parliamentary election as the first candidate on the UMP's candidate list for Dikhil Region.
Gordon Mawhinney	In 1981, Mawhinney stood for the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland in Newtownabbey District'' C'', but was not elected.
Shachiv Shnaan	He lost his Knesset seat in 2013 after Independence chose not to contest the elections.
Joan Collins (politician)	In March 2011 due to the dual mandate rule, she was replaced on the city council by her party colleague Pat Dunne.
Colette Avital	However, she entered the Knesset in November 1999 when Labor MK Matan Vilnai resigned.
Lyudmyla Denisova	Denisova headed the electoral list of Batkivshchina during the 2010 Crimean parliamentary election.
David Zucker (politician)	Zucker won a place on the Ratz list prior to the 1984 Knesset elections, but failed to win a seat.
Joe Sherlock	He held both seats until the ending of the dual mandate in 2003.
Moshe Kelmer	However, he returned to the Knesset on 2 April 1963 as a replacement for the deceased Aharon-Ya' akov Greenberg.
Alec Neill	In 2001, Simon Upton resigned, and Neill was again the next candidate on the National Party list, allowing him to return to parliament.
Walter Wolfgang	On 3 August 2006 it was announced that he has been elected to the NEC, coming fourth in the election (the top six get seats).
Shlomo-Ya'akov Gross	He was on the Religious Torah Front list (an alliance of Agudat Yisrael and Poalei Agudat Yisrael) for the 1955 elections, but failed to win a seat.
Judy Turner	In September 2005, Judy Turner and Gordon Copeland became the only two United Future List MPs re-elected alongside Peter Dunne (who won an electorate seat).
Peter McCardle	McCardle was re-elected to Parliament as a New Zealand First list MP in the 1996 elections, also unsuccessfully contesting the Rimutaka seat.
Dodie McGuinness	In 1996, she was elected to the Northern Ireland Forum as one of four Sinn Féin members in Belfast West.
Richard Bridgeman, 7th Earl of Bradford	He ran again for UKIP in the European Elections for the West Midlands region in 2004, coming eighth, seven candidates were elected.
Carwyn Jones	Married to Lisa (a native of Belfast, Northern Ireland), After winning the leadership election in 2009, Jones was confirmed as the third First Minister of Wales on 9 December 2009.
Nissim Zvili	Zvili entered the Knesset as a representative for Labor in the 1992 elections.
Yitzhak Levy	He was elected to the Knesset in 1988 on the National Religious Party list.
Moshe Wertman	Although he failed to win a seat, he entered the Knesset on 17 January 1966 as a replacement for Moshe Carmel, who had given up his seat after being appointed Minister of Transport.
Yehuda Ben-Meir	However, he entered the Knesset on 4 April 1971 as a replacement for his deceased father.
Zalman Shoval	However, when Ben-Gurion resigned from the Knesset in May 1970, Shoval took his place.
Matityahu Drobles	Although he failed to win a seat, he entered the Knesset on 26 February 1972 as a replacement for the deceased Yosef Sapir.
Haim Katz	In the Likud primaries for the 2006 election, Katz gained thirteenth place on the party's list.
Yitzhak-Meir Levin	He was elected to the first Knesset in 1949 as a member of the United Religious Front, an alliance of the four major religious parties, and was reappointed to his ministerial role in the first and second governments.
Baruch Kamin	However, he entered the Knesset on 1 December 1953 as a replacement for David Hacohen.
Haim Katz	However, shortly before the 2003 election, he defected to Likud and was re-elected to the Knesset on their list.
Gordon Copeland	In the 2005 general election, he was third on the party list and was one of three United Future MPs.
Anne McTaggart	McTaggart was elected as a list MSP for the Glasgow region in the 2011 Scottish parliamentary election.
Eliyahu Gabai	However, he entered the Knesset on 20 January 1998 as a replacement for the deceased Zevulun Hammer.
Jim Bollan	In the Scottish local elections, 2012, he was re-elected fairly comfortably as a councillor, coming second and winning on the first count.
Alun Pugh	Pugh was elected in the National Assembly for Wales election in 1999 to the marginal Clwyd West seat of the National Assembly for Wales.
Frances Curran	The SSP selected her as its no. 1 candidate in the Glasgow regional list for the Scottish Parliament election, 2011.
Nick Griffin	In the 2004 European Parliament election, when he was the BNP candidate for the North West England constituency, the party received 134,959 votes (6.
Phelim O'Neill, 2nd Baron Rathcavan	At the Northern Ireland Assembly election, 1973, he was unsuccessful in North Antrim.
Tzipi Hotovely	She made the 18th slot on the party's list for the 2009 elections, and became a member of the Knesset.
Jean-Claude Gakosso	In the June 2007 parliamentary election, Gakosso stood as the Congolese Labour Party (PCT) candidate in the Ongogni constituency of Plateaux Region.
Harry West	In June 1979 West stood as one of two candidates in the first elections to the European Parliament.
Einat Wilf	A member of the Israeli Labor Party, Wilf won fourteenth place on the party's list for the 2009 Knesset elections.
Meir Pa'il	He was elected to the Knesset in the 1973 elections on the Moked list, and was the party's only representative in the Knesset.
Masaad Kassis	In 1951 he was amongst the founders of the Democratic List for Israeli Arabs, and was elected to the Knesset on its list in the elections that year.
Jabr Muadi	Born in Yirka in British-controlled Palestine, Muadi was first elected to the Knesset in 1951 as a member of the Democratic List for Israeli Arabs.
Eliezer Ronen	In 1973 Ronen was elected to the Knesset on the Alignment list, an alliance of Mapam and the Labor Party.
Tzachi Hanegbi	Placed fourth on the party's list, he retained his seat in the 2009 elections.
Louis Aliot	In the 2009 European elections, he led the FN list in the South-West France constituency.
Grant Robertson	On 1 September 2008, the Labour Party published its list for the 2008 general election and ranked Robertson at number 46.
Gordon Mawhinney	However, he was elected to the Northern Ireland Assembly, 1982, in South Antrim.
Edward Kellett-Bowman	At the 1999 election, Kellett-Bowman was placed seventh on the Conservative Party list in South East England, the lowest of all the sitting MEPs, making it very difficult for him to be elected.
Nelson McCausland	McCausland made his political debut in the 1982 Assembly elections, standing in North Belfast for the United Ulster Unionist Party (UUUP), when he was eliminated early on in the count.
Achille Occhetto	After the 2006 General election he returned to the European Parliament by taking up one of the seats vacated by an elected Deputy, and sits as an Independent member of the Party of European Socialists group.
Alun Davies (politician)	He was chosen as first on the Labour Party list for' top-up' seats from the Mid and West Wales region for the 2007 Assembly election, and because of Labour losses in the region the party secured two seats.
Nissim Dahan	He lost his Knesset seat in the 2006 elections.
Judy Turner	In the 2008 election, Turner stood as a United Future candidate for the East Coast electorate.
Hugh Smyth	However Smyth successfully defended his council seat in the 2011 local elections.
Jackie Fahey	Fahey contested the 1989 European Parliament election for the Munster constituency but was not elected.
Meir David Loewenstein	He was elected to the Knesset in the country's first elections in 1949 as a member of the United Religious Front, an alliance of the four major religious parties.
Ian Paisley	Paisley easily retained his seat in every European election until he stood down in 2004, receiving the highest popular vote of any British MEP (although as Northern Ireland uses a different electoral system to Great Britain for European elections, the figures are not strictly comparable).
Frances Morrell	In the run-up to the 1981 Greater London Council elections, she was chosen to fight Islington South and Finsbury and on election formed part of the left faction in support of Ken Livingstone.
Meir Kahane	In the 1984 legislative elections, Kahane's Kach party received 25,907 votes, enough to give the party one seat in the Knesset, which was taken by Kahane.
Eleanor Rathbone	She was elected to the National Assembly for Wales as representative for Cardiff Central in the 2011 National Assembly elections.
David Ben-Gurion	He formed another new party, the National List, which won four seats in the 1969 election.
Shai Hermesh	Placed sixth on the Kadima list for the 2013 elections, he lost his seat as the party was reduced to two MKs.
Erela Golan	Although the party won only 15 seats, as the next candidate on the list, Golan entered the Knesset on 16 December 2004 as a replacement for the deceased Yehudit Naot.
Mykola Azarov	In the 28 October 2012 parliamentary election he was (re) - elected into parliament heading the party list of Party of Regions.
Charlie Biton	In the 1992 Knesset elections he headed a list named Hatikva, but it won only 2,053 votes (0.
Steven Agnew	He successfully contested the North Down seat in the Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2011.
Franca Arena	In 1999 she failed a bid for re-election under the'' Franca Arena Child Safety Alliance'' banner, and retired from politics.
Moshe Sharoni	In 2006 he was elected to the Knesset on the Gil list.
Ra'anan Naim	In the 1988 elections he headed a new party, the Movement for Moshavim, but it failed to cross the electoral threshold.
Derek Hussey	In the 1996 election to the Northern Ireland Peace Forum, Hussey was elected as representative for West Tyrone.
Steven Agnew	At the Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2007, Agnew stood in Belfast East, where he took 2.
Lynne Pillay	Pillay had previously contested the safe National seat of Tamaki in the 1999 elections, and had missed out on election as a list MP by only one place.
Louis Aliot	In the 2004 regional elections, he led the FN list in the Midi-Pyrénées and polled 11.
Poul Nyrup Rasmussen	Rasmussen became a MEP for the Party of European Socialists after winning a record number of 407,966 votes for an individual (from Denmark) in the European Parliament ary elections in 2004.
Annabel Young	She entered Parliament on 22 April 1997, having been the next candidate on National's party list when list MP Jim Gerard resigned.
Meshulam Nahari	He retained his seat again in the 2009 elections, having been placed fifth on the Shas list.
Syed Kamall	He was placed on the' A-list' of Conservative parliamentary candidates ahead of the 2010 election and continues to be a MEP for London.
Bob Simcock	In the 2002 elections, however, the National Party performed poorly, and did not win enough votes for Simcock to remain in Parliament.
Hanan Rubin	In the 1949 elections he was elected to the Knesset on Mapam's list.
Liz Gordon	In the 2002 elections, she was ranked fourth on the party list, but the Alliance did not win any seats.
Moshe Feiglin	Feiglin won a seat in the Israeli Knesset for the first time in elections held January 22, 2013.
Norman Lowell	Norman Lowell contested the first European Parliament elections that were held in Malta on June 12, 2004, obtaining 1,603 first-count votes from a total of 250,691 votes cast (0.
Mustapha Ben Jafar	Ben Jafar's party, Ettakatol, placed fourth in the October 2011 elections to the Constituent Assembly, and Ben Jafar was elected to a seat in the Constituent Assembly.
Shlomo Bohbot	He later joined the Labor Party, and in 1992 he was elected to the Knesset on its list.
Marie-Christine Vergiat	In the 2009 European election she was the top candidate for the Left Front list in the South-East constituency, and became a Member of the European Parliament.
Yoram Marciano	However, he re-entered the Knesset on 9 December 2012 as a replacement for Amir Peretz, who had left the party to join Hatnuah.
Simon Darby	Darby stood in the 2007 Welsh National Assembly Elections in the North Wales region but was not elected.
Shaul Mofaz	Placed second on the Kadima list, Mofaz retained his seat in the 2009 elections, but lost his cabinet position after Likud formed the government.
Katrina Shanks	Shanks was again placed 46th on the party's list for the 2008 general election, and her party's result meant that she returned to Parliament.
Ole Klemetsen	In 2005 he joined the party list of Demokratene in an effort to secure a Parliament seat for Jan Simonsen.
Aileen Campbell	At the 2007 Scottish Parliament election she was the SNP candidate for Clydesdale where she finished second but was subsequently elected as an addition a member for the South of Scotland region due to Campbell being 5th on the SNP's regional list.
Hilbrand Nawijn	Later that year he entered the 2006 Dutch elections with a new party, the Partij voor Nederland (Party for the Netherlands), but obtained no seats.