Carnegie Mellon's Delphi research group develops the theory and practice of epidemiological forecasting, with a long-term vision of making this technology as universally accepted and useful as weather forecasting is today.
We’re a research group based at CMU dedicated to developing the theory and practice of epidemic tracking and forecasting. Pre-pandemic, we worked mostly on influenza, dengue and norovirus. During the recent pandemic, we picked up a focus on COVID-19. We procure unique data streams that reflect epidemic (or pandemic) activity, extract relevant indicators, and make these publicly and continuously available. Along with collaborators, we then use these indicators for nowcasting (situational awareness) and short-term forecasting.
We work with public health authorities (federal, state and local), the healthcare industry, the public and private sectors, fellow researchers working on epidemic tracking and forecasting, data journalists, and the general public.