Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	georg_mason	8		✓	0.471	0.0227	0.506
1	georg_mason	8		✗	0	0	0
2	unit_state	92		✓	0.707	0	0.000597
2	unit_state	92		✗	0.29	0	0.00199
3	state_senat	0		✓	0.00637	0	0
3	state_senat	0		✗	0.994	0	0
4	__NUM___month	24		✓	0.112	0	0.00219
4	__NUM___month	24		✗	0.886	0	0
5	vote_booth	15		✓	0.0732	0	0
5	vote_booth	15		✗	0.927	0	0
6	move_forward	85		✓	0.071	0	0.788
6	move_forward	85		✗	0.141	0	0
7	__NUM___job	13		✓	0	0.000199	0.248
7	__NUM___job	13		✗	0.000796	0	0.751
8	ad___NUM__	12		✓	0	0	0.042
8	ad___NUM__	12		✗	0	0	0.958
9	__NUM___million	0		✓	0.000398	0	0.00299
9	__NUM___million	0		✗	0	0	0.997
10	unemploy_rate	15		✓	0	0	0.0488
10	unemploy_rate	15		✗	0	0	0.951
11	lowest_level	5		✓	0	0	0.0193
11	lowest_level	5		✗	0	0	0.981
12	middl_class	41		✓	0.0197	0.00259	0.134
12	middl_class	41		✗	0	0	0.844
13	class_famili	0		✓	0.00139	0	0.00318
13	class_famili	0		✗	0.0193	0.00259	0.974
14	turn_back	49		✓	0.981	0	0.000398
14	turn_back	49		✗	0.0165	0	0.00159
15	american_peopl	15		✓	0.0675	0	0.0175
15	american_peopl	15		✗	0.913	0	0.00179
16	unit_state	48		✓	0.157	0	0.245
16	unit_state	48		✗	0.585	0	0.0135
17	big_bank	38		✓	0.0127	0	0.713
17	big_bank	38		✗	0.0468	0	0.227
18	wall_street	2		✓	0.000199	0	0.0442
18	wall_street	2		✗	0.0255	0	0.93
19	peopl_monei	9		✓	0	0	0.0545
19	peopl_monei	9		✗	0	0	0.945
20	roll_back	8		✓	0	0	0.0265
20	roll_back	8		✗	0	0	0.974
21	bill_clinton	34		✓	0	0	0.116
21	bill_clinton	34		✗	0	0	0.884
22	georg_bush	7		✓	0.000199	0	0.0275
22	georg_bush	7		✗	0	0	0.972
23	tax_cut	9		✓	0	0	0.0342
23	tax_cut	9		✗	0	0	0.966
24	credit_card	3		✓	0	0	0.0129
24	credit_card	3		✗	0	0	0.987
25	__MONEY___trillion	8		✓	0	0	0.0257
25	__MONEY___trillion	8		✗	0	0	0.974
26	tax_cut	2		✓	0.000597	0	0.00716
26	tax_cut	2		✗	0	0	0.992
27	move_forward	44		✓	0.157	0.00119	0.132
27	move_forward	44		✗	0.000796	0	0.709
28	small_busi	6		✓	0.0187	0.000398	0.0245
28	small_busi	6		✗	0.148	0.00119	0.807
29	creat_job	4		✓	0.0802	0.000199	0.0141
29	creat_job	4		✗	0.164	0.000796	0.741
30	unit_state	4		✓	0.491	0	0.00517
30	unit_state	4		✗	0.24	0	0.264
31	scienc_teacher	8		✓	0.298	0	0
31	scienc_teacher	8		✗	0.702	0	0
32	__NUM___million	3		✓	0.0165	0	0
32	__NUM___million	3		✗	0.983	0	0
33	commun_colleg	3		✓	0.0173	0	0
33	commun_colleg	3		✗	0.983	0	0
34	colleg_tuition	7		✓	0.032	0.000199	0
34	colleg_tuition	7		✗	0.968	0	0
35	clean_energi	16		✓	0.075	0	0.16
35	clean_energi	16		✗	0.765	0	0
36	put_peopl	22		✓	0.0882	0	0.0971
36	put_peopl	22		✗	0.675	0	0.14
37	middl_class	23		✓	0.0557	0.000398	0.29
37	middl_class	23		✗	0.438	0	0.216
38	move_forward	5		✓	0.0145	0	0.0462
38	move_forward	5		✗	0.447	0.000398	0.492
39	bottom_line	47		✓	0.00498	0	0.517
39	bottom_line	47		✗	0.0227	0	0.455
40	__MONEY___trillion	24		✓	0	0	0.104
40	__MONEY___trillion	24		✗	0	0	0.896
41	tax_cut	2		✓	0.000199	0	0.00856
41	tax_cut	2		✗	0	0	0.991
42	wall_street	18		✓	0.00159	0	0.0699
42	wall_street	18		✗	0	0	0.929
43	live_happili	24		✓	0	0	0.0838
43	live_happili	24		✗	0	0	0.916
44	middl_class	37		✓	0.000597	0	0.123
44	middl_class	37		✗	0	0	0.877
45	class_famili	0		✓	0	0	0.00159
45	class_famili	0		✗	0.000398	0	0.998
46	big_oil	36		✓	0	0	0.121
46	big_oil	36		✗	0	0	0.879
47	oil_compani	0		✓	0	0	0.000199
47	oil_compani	0		✗	0	0	1
48	corpor_welfar	5		✓	0	0	0.000398
48	corpor_welfar	5		✗	0	0	1
49	tax_break	2		✓	0.000199	0	0.301
49	tax_break	2		✗	0	0	0.699
50	cut_spend	37		✓	0.00239	0.000199	0.72
50	cut_spend	37		✗	0	0	0.277
51	wall_street	60		✓	0.00637	0	0.204
51	wall_street	60		✗	0.000597	0	0.789
52	econom_polici	39		✓	0.00259	0	0.133
52	econom_polici	39		✗	0.000796	0	0.864
53	tax_cut	15		✓	0	0.000199	0.0651
53	tax_cut	15		✗	0.000199	0	0.935
54	clean_energi	14		✓	0.00239	0	0.0515
54	clean_energi	14		✗	0	0	0.946
55	roll_back	9		✓	0	0	0.035
55	roll_back	9		✗	0	0	0.965
56	wall_street_bank	3		✓	0	0	0.0125
56	wall_street_bank	3		✗	0	0	0.987
57	oil_compani	3		✓	0.00458	0	0.0141
57	oil_compani	3		✗	0	0	0.981
58	insur_compani	2		✓	0	0	0.0101
58	insur_compani	2		✗	0.00458	0	0.985
59	middl_class	23		✓	0.0316	0	0.0774
59	middl_class	23		✗	0	0	0.891
60	move_forward	15		✓	0.0396	0	0.047
60	move_forward	15		✗	0.0261	0	0.887
61	creat_job	9		✓	0.0165	0.000199	0.0378
61	creat_job	9		✗	0.0553	0	0.89
62	middl_class	25		✓	0.216	0.000398	0.0595
62	middl_class	25		✗	0.0607	0	0.664
63	hard_work	43		✓	0.734	0	0.00597
63	hard_work	43		✗	0.226	0	0.034
64	fair_share	20		✓	0.114	0	0.00438
64	fair_share	20		✗	0.868	0	0.0135
65	__NUM___year	24		✓	0.109	0	0.0145
65	__NUM___year	24		✗	0.865	0	0.0107
66	unit_state	23		✓	0.109	0	0.00498
66	unit_state	23		✗	0.88	0	0.00617
67	econom_issu	34		✓	0.162	0	0.000199
67	econom_issu	34		✗	0.836	0	0.000995
68	health_care	73		✓	0.0977	0	0.00378
68	health_care	73		✗	0.899	0	0
69	insur_compani	50		✓	0.0219	0	0.00617
69	insur_compani	50		✗	0.971	0	0.00139
70	year_ago	59		✓	0.0302	0	0.00159
70	year_ago	59		✗	0.967	0	0.000995
71	health_reform	6		✓	0.00378	0	0
71	health_reform	6		✗	0.996	0	0
72	health_care	19		✓	0.00299	0	0
72	health_care	19		✗	0.997	0	0
73	insur_compani	22		✓	0.000796	0	0.000199
73	insur_compani	22		✗	0.999	0	0
74	breast_cancer	54		✓	0.00498	0	0
74	breast_cancer	54		✗	0.995	0	0
75	__NUM___million	20		✓	0.00338	0	0
75	__NUM___million	20		✗	0.997	0	0
76	young_adult	1		✓	0.000199	0	0
76	young_adult	1		✗	1	0	0
77	health_care_plan	14		✓	0.000398	0	0
77	health_care_plan	14		✗	1	0	0
78	insur_compani	28		✓	0.00219	0	0.000199
78	insur_compani	28		✗	0.998	0	0
79	administr_cost	60		✓	0.00478	0	0
79	administr_cost	60		✗	0.995	0	0
80	health_care	9		✓	0.000995	0	0
80	health_care	9		✗	0.999	0	0
81	prevent_care	10		✓	0.000199	0	0
81	prevent_care	10		✗	1	0	0
82	__NUM___million	23		✓	0.00259	0	0
82	__NUM___million	23		✗	0.997	0	0
83	health_plan	5		✓	0.000597	0	0
83	health_plan	5		✗	0.999	0	0
84	women_health	15		✓	0.000597	0	0
84	women_health	15		✗	0.999	0	0
85	famili_plan	7		✓	0.000199	0	0
85	famili_plan	7		✗	1	0	0
86	health_care_system	20		✓	0.00159	0	0
86	health_care_system	20		✗	0.998	0	0
87	health_care_plan	29		✓	0.000995	0	0
87	health_care_plan	29		✗	0.999	0	0
88	make_choic	88		✓	0.00955	0	0.221
88	make_choic	88		✗	0.769	0	0
89	colleg_student	28		✓	0.206	0	0.000597
89	colleg_student	28		✗	0.777	0	0.0163
90	prevent_care	13		✓	0.0229	0	0
90	prevent_care	13		✗	0.977	0	0
91	repeal_obamacar	47		✓	0.00259	0	0
91	repeal_obamacar	47		✗	0.997	0	0
92	plan_parenthood	132		✓	0.0121	0	0.0155
92	plan_parenthood	132		✗	0.972	0	0
93	insur_compani	109		✓	0.0161	0	0.0127
93	insur_compani	109		✗	0.965	0	0.00657
94	capitol_hill	13		✓	0.117	0	0.00159
94	capitol_hill	13		✗	0.877	0	0.00438
95	make_decis	25		✓	0.0199	0	0
95	make_decis	25		✗	0.98	0	0
96	health_care	3		✓	0.000796	0	0
96	health_care	3		✗	0.999	0	0
97	made_clear	26		✓	0.00995	0	0.00358
97	made_clear	26		✗	0.986	0	0
98	health_care	16		✓	0.00637	0	0.000398
98	health_care	16		✗	0.993	0	0.000398
99	health_insur	48		✓	0.00458	0	0.000398
99	health_insur	48		✗	0.995	0	0
100	health_care	17		✓	0.00378	0	0.000796
100	health_care	17		✗	0.995	0	0.000199
101	econom_issu	42		✓	0.0362	0	0.000199
101	econom_issu	42		✗	0.963	0	0.000199
102	suprem_court	131		✓	0.312	0	0
102	suprem_court	131		✗	0.688	0	0
103	highest_court	3		✓	0.0539	0.000199	0
103	highest_court	3		✗	0.946	0	0
104	turn_back	25		✓	0.663	0	0
104	turn_back	25		✗	0.337	0	0
105	move_forward	18		✓	0.0786	0.000199	0.0259
105	move_forward	18		✗	0.895	0	0
106	american_job	213		✓	0.722	0.000597	0.00498
106	american_job	213		✗	0.272	0	0
107	blue_state	9		✓	0.0527	0	0
107	blue_state	9		✗	0.947	0	0
108	red_state	2		✓	0.0117	0	0
108	red_state	2		✗	0.988	0	0
109	unit_state	9		✓	0.0486	0	0.00179
109	unit_state	9		✗	0.95	0	0
110	hard_work	12		✓	0.0575	0	0.00259
110	hard_work	12		✗	0.938	0	0.00159
111	middl_class	69		✓	0.262	0.000199	0.0935
111	middl_class	69		✗	0.642	0	0.00219
112	move_forward	9		✓	0.0605	0	0.00716
112	move_forward	9		✗	0.858	0.000199	0.0744
113	phone_call	68		✓	0.35	0	0
113	phone_call	68		✗	0.65	0	0
114	unit_state	49		✓	0.221	0	0.00259
114	unit_state	49		✗	0.776	0	0
115	god_bless	9		✓	0.0442	0	0
115	god_bless	9		✗	0.956	0	0
116	unit_state	9		✓	0.0434	0	0.0109
116	unit_state	9		✗	0.946	0	0
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	3

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation