Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	week_ago	17		✓	0.486	0.000995	0.513
1	week_ago	17		✗	0	0	0
2	health_care	39		✓	0.0898	0.000199	0.254
2	health_care	39		✗	0.256	0	0.401
3	lower_tax	23		✓	0.00139	0	0.332
3	lower_tax	23		✗	0.0358	0	0.63
4	incom_american	4		✓	0.000199	0	0.0151
4	incom_american	4		✗	0.036	0	0.949
5	social_secur	138		✓	0.00358	0	0.0816
5	social_secur	138		✗	0.0328	0	0.882
6	health_care	14		✓	0.00498	0	0.00657
6	health_care	14		✗	0.0362	0	0.952
7	tax_break	16		✓	0.00119	0.00299	0.00677
7	tax_break	16		✗	0.0394	0	0.95
8	incom_american	5		✓	0.000597	0	0.0129
8	incom_american	5		✗	0.0358	0.000796	0.95
9	cut_back	11		✓	0.0125	0.00179	0.0513
9	cut_back	11		✗	0.0229	0.000597	0.911
10	foreign_oil	23		✓	0.546	0.00239	0.312
10	foreign_oil	23		✗	0.0151	0.000995	0.124
11	henri_ford	43		✓	0.037	0.00736	0.51
11	henri_ford	43		✗	0.121	0.00219	0.323
12	american_voter	65		✓	0.0364	0.00119	0.287
12	american_voter	65		✗	0.0366	0.00219	0.637
13	hillari_clinton	39		✓	0.0165	0.000597	0.156
13	hillari_clinton	39		✗	0.0155	0.000398	0.811
14	barack_obama	2		✓	0.139	0.0111	0.23
14	barack_obama	2		✗	0.0304	0.000995	0.588
15	john_edward	2		✓	0.00915	0	0.0127
15	john_edward	2		✗	0.164	0.00338	0.811
16	big_govern	42		✓	0.412	0.000398	0.0513
16	big_govern	42		✗	0.127	0.000199	0.41
17	big_brother	2		✓	0.121	0.000199	0.00517
17	big_brother	2		✗	0.531	0.000398	0.342
18	great_nation	52		✓	0.53	0	0.00358
18	great_nation	52		✗	0.466	0	0.000597
19	american_peopl	3		✓	0.0205	0	0.00677
19	american_peopl	3		✗	0.968	0	0.00498
20	ronald_reagan	6		✓	0.0312	0	0.0127
20	ronald_reagan	6		✗	0.944	0	0.0117
21	american_peopl	13		✓	0.085	0	0.0151
21	american_peopl	13		✗	0.888	0	0.0119
22	power_nation	44		✓	0.201	0	0.0364
22	power_nation	44		✗	0.75	0	0.0127
23	ronald_reagan	3		✓	0.0314	0	0.00736
23	ronald_reagan	3		✗	0.917	0	0.044
24	good_peopl	13		✓	0.0681	0	0.0243
24	good_peopl	13		✗	0.881	0	0.0271
25	power_nation	14		✓	0.114	0.000199	0.044
25	power_nation	14		✗	0.811	0	0.0304
26	south_carolina	115		✓	0.119	0.00398	0.706
26	south_carolina	115		✗	0.132	0	0.038
27	white_hous	18		✓	0.185	0.00259	0.0589
27	white_hous	18		✗	0.208	0.00279	0.542
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	5

Mitt Romney

Cue-lag representation