Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	hundr_mile	93		✓	0.969	0	0.031
1	hundr_mile	93		✗	0	0	0
2	year_ago	6		✓	0.0209	0	0
2	year_ago	6		✗	0.958	0	0.0215
3	state_capitol	13		✓	0.0354	0	0.000199
3	state_capitol	13		✗	0.963	0	0.00159
4	gener_ago	11		✓	0.0101	0	0.000199
4	gener_ago	11		✗	0.988	0	0.00159
5	hous_divid	4		✓	0.00577	0	0
5	hous_divid	4		✗	0.994	0	0
6	red_state	12		✓	0.0233	0	0
6	red_state	12		✗	0.977	0	0
7	blue_state	2		✓	0.0121	0	0
7	blue_state	2		✗	0.988	0	0
8	unit_state	11		✓	0.288	0	0.0119
8	unit_state	11		✗	0.7	0	0
9	factori_worker	22		✓	0.311	0	0.0185
9	factori_worker	22		✗	0.667	0	0.00358
10	solv_problem	37		✓	0.122	0	0.0101
10	solv_problem	37		✗	0.862	0	0.00517
11	health_care	9		✓	0.0245	0	0.000796
11	health_care	9		✗	0.964	0	0.0105
12	south_carolina	56		✓	0.0655	0	0
12	south_carolina	56		✗	0.935	0	0
13	black_children	27		✓	0.0269	0	0
13	black_children	27		✗	0.973	0	0
14	front_yard	202		✓	0.27	0.000199	0.00876
14	front_yard	202		✗	0.721	0	0
15	senat_clinton	104		✓	0.123	0	0.0175
15	senat_clinton	104		✗	0.859	0	0.00119
16	american_peopl	42		✓	0.0645	0	0.00517
16	american_peopl	42		✗	0.918	0	0.0121
17	common_purpos	51		✓	0.0567	0	0.00299
17	common_purpos	51		✗	0.932	0	0.00876
18	washington_lobbyist	49		✓	0.0179	0	0.597
18	washington_lobbyist	49		✗	0.374	0	0.0115
19	georg_bush	53		✓	0.000597	0	0.406
19	georg_bush	53		✗	0.00199	0	0.591
20	hundr_year	81		✓	0	0	0.0693
20	hundr_year	81		✗	0	0	0.931
21	tax_break	8		✓	0	0	0.0135
21	tax_break	8		✗	0	0	0.986
22	medic_bill	38		✓	0.00498	0	0.0245
22	medic_bill	38		✗	0	0	0.971
23	tax_break	46		✓	0	0	0.0816
23	tax_break	46		✗	0	0	0.918
24	job_oversea	6		✓	0	0	0.00776
24	job_oversea	6		✗	0	0	0.992
25	work_american	9		✓	0.00478	0	0.00975
25	work_american	9		✗	0	0	0.985
26	health_care	29		✓	0.779	0	0.0179
26	health_care	29		✗	0.00318	0	0.2
27	colleg_educ	12		✓	0.285	0	0.000796
27	colleg_educ	12		✗	0.707	0	0.00736
28	nuclear_weapon	113		✓	0.205	0	0.58
28	nuclear_weapon	113		✗	0.214	0	0.000995
29	make_mistak	31		✓	0.455	0.000597	0.136
29	make_mistak	31		✗	0.341	0	0.0675
30	ordinari_peopl	60		✓	0.501	0	0.000199
30	ordinari_peopl	60		✗	0.497	0	0.00179
31	south_side	62		✓	0.0798	0	0
31	south_side	62		✗	0.92	0	0
32	young_boi	57		✓	0.0356	0	0.000199
32	young_boi	57		✗	0.964	0	0
33	health_care	97		✓	0.443	0.000597	0.124
33	health_care	97		✗	0.432	0	0.000199
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	279

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation