Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	school_dai	18		✓	0.97	0.00438	0.0257
1	school_dai	18		✗	0	0	0
2	vital_import	107		✓	0.117	0.000995	0.0277
2	vital_import	107		✗	0.842	0.000199	0.0119
3	nation_prioriti	41		✓	0.0384	0	0.0322
3	nation_prioriti	41		✗	0.892	0	0.0376
4	__NUM___elect	3		✓	0.0358	0.000796	0.0109
4	__NUM___elect	3		✗	0.883	0	0.0695
5	energi_independ	18		✓	0.558	0.000199	0.0854
5	energi_independ	18		✗	0.335	0	0.0217
6	health_care	2		✓	0.248	0.000199	0.00597
6	health_care	2		✗	0.741	0.000199	0.00478
7	public_educ	6		✓	0.252	0	0.000995
7	public_educ	6		✗	0.744	0	0.00318
8	__NUM___centuri	3		✓	0.00139	0	0
8	__NUM___centuri	3		✗	0.994	0	0.00418
9	america_face	49		✓	0.0193	0	0.00159
9	america_face	49		✗	0.979	0	0
10	global_economi	13		✓	0.00677	0	0.000398
10	global_economi	13		✗	0.992	0	0.000796
11	__NUM___centuri	68		✓	0.0283	0	0
11	__NUM___centuri	68		✗	0.972	0	0
12	global_econom	4		✓	0.00159	0	0
12	global_econom	4		✗	0.998	0	0
13	__NUM___centuri	7		✓	0.00338	0	0
13	__NUM___centuri	7		✗	0.997	0	0
14	recent_decad	15		✓	0.00896	0	0.00438
14	recent_decad	15		✗	0.987	0	0
15	inform_technolog	6		✓	0.00995	0	0.000597
15	inform_technolog	6		✗	0.986	0	0.00378
16	global_economi	17		✓	0.0231	0	0.00517
16	global_economi	17		✗	0.969	0	0.00279
17	higher_educ	82		✓	0.871	0	0.000199
17	higher_educ	82		✗	0.129	0	0
18	high_school	46		✓	0.13	0	0
18	high_school	46		✗	0.87	0	0
19	colleg_graduat	13		✓	0.0352	0	0
19	colleg_graduat	13		✗	0.965	0	0
20	colleg_degre	4		✓	0.00915	0	0
20	colleg_degre	4		✗	0.991	0	0
21	rise_cost	24		✓	0.158	0.0167	0.0259
21	rise_cost	24		✗	0.8	0	0.000199
22	__NUM___centuri	50		✓	0.137	0	0.00418
22	__NUM___centuri	50		✗	0.856	0	0.00299
23	world_todai	36		✓	0.0322	0	0.000995
23	world_todai	36		✗	0.965	0	0.00159
24	south_korea	31		✓	0.0115	0	0.00498
24	south_korea	31		✗	0.982	0	0.00139
25	high_school	19		✓	0.00935	0	0
25	high_school	19		✗	0.991	0	0
26	school_student	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
26	school_student	0		✗	1	0	0
27	high_school	12		✓	0.00279	0	0
27	high_school	12		✗	0.997	0	0
28	industri_world	12		✓	0.00338	0	0.000597
28	industri_world	12		✗	0.996	0	0
29	__NUM___centuri	7		✓	0.000995	0	0.000199
29	__NUM___centuri	7		✗	0.998	0	0.000597
30	elementari_school	45		✓	0.0149	0	0.000597
30	elementari_school	45		✗	0.984	0	0.000597
31	averag___NUM__	6		✓	0.00179	0	0.0115
31	averag___NUM__	6		✗	0.985	0	0.00119
32	__NUM___minut	0		✓	0.00159	0	0.0173
32	__NUM___minut	0		✗	0.968	0	0.0127
33	middl_class	27		✓	0.166	0.00517	0.0818
33	middl_class	27		✗	0.73	0	0.0169
34	incom_student	71		✓	0.15	0	0
34	incom_student	71		✗	0.85	0	0
35	colleg_degre	5		✓	0.000597	0	0
35	colleg_degre	5		✗	0.999	0	0
36	public_school	70		✓	0.0281	0	0.00299
36	public_school	70		✗	0.969	0	0
37	statu_quo	82		✓	0.512	0	0.0547
37	statu_quo	82		✗	0.432	0	0.000796
38	good_idea	21		✓	0.104	0.000199	0.0406
38	good_idea	21		✗	0.816	0	0.0386
39	educ_system	64		✓	0.245	0	0.000199
39	educ_system	64		✗	0.755	0	0
40	public_educ	60		✓	0.0806	0	0
40	public_educ	60		✗	0.919	0	0
41	head_start	33		✓	0.0101	0	0.000597
41	head_start	33		✗	0.989	0	0
42	child_left	19		✓	0.00438	0	0
42	child_left	19		✗	0.996	0	0
43	educ_system	8		✓	0.00637	0	0
43	educ_system	8		✗	0.994	0	0
44	financi_aid	20		✓	0.00756	0	0.00139
44	financi_aid	20		✗	0.991	0	0
45	colleg_degre	24		✓	0.00836	0	0
45	colleg_degre	24		✗	0.992	0	0
46	john_mccain	45		✓	0.0171	0.000398	0.0372
46	john_mccain	45		✗	0.945	0	0
47	childhood_educ	94		✓	0.0706	0	0
47	childhood_educ	94		✗	0.929	0	0
48	high_school	24		✓	0.0111	0	0
48	high_school	24		✗	0.989	0	0
49	attend_colleg	2		✓	0.00537	0	0
49	attend_colleg	2		✗	0.995	0	0
50	colleg_degre	23		✓	0.0201	0	0
50	colleg_degre	23		✗	0.98	0	0
51	tax_credit	12		✓	0.0655	0	0.00119
51	tax_credit	12		✗	0.933	0	0
52	middl_class	3		✓	0.0539	0.000199	0.00796
52	middl_class	3		✗	0.937	0	0.000995
53	broken_promis	20		✓	0.0209	0	0
53	broken_promis	20		✗	0.979	0	0.000199
54	child_left	3		✓	0.00159	0	0
54	child_left	3		✗	0.998	0	0
55	achiev_gap	31		✓	0.00677	0	0
55	achiev_gap	31		✗	0.993	0	0
56	rural_area	8		✓	0.00179	0	0
56	rural_area	8		✗	0.998	0	0
57	higher_standard	7		✓	0.000995	0	0
57	higher_standard	7		✗	0.999	0	0
58	child_left	11		✓	0.00159	0	0
58	child_left	11		✗	0.998	0	0
59	standard_test	104		✓	0.0308	0	0
59	standard_test	104		✗	0.969	0	0
60	__NUM___centuri	56		✓	0.0157	0	0
60	__NUM___centuri	56		✗	0.984	0	0
61	knowledg_economi	1		✓	0.000398	0	0
61	knowledg_economi	1		✗	1	0	0
62	child_left	8		✓	0.00139	0	0
62	child_left	8		✗	0.999	0	0
63	special_educ	26		✓	0.00597	0	0
63	special_educ	26		✗	0.994	0	0
64	child_left	9		✓	0.00219	0	0
64	child_left	9		✗	0.998	0	0
65	global_economi	11		✓	0.00378	0	0
65	global_economi	11		✗	0.996	0	0
66	__NUM___centuri	8		✓	0.00259	0	0.000398
66	__NUM___centuri	8		✗	0.997	0	0
67	attend_school	70		✓	0.0283	0	0.000199
67	attend_school	70		✗	0.972	0	0
68	high_school	16		✓	0.00398	0	0
68	high_school	16		✗	0.996	0	0
69	pai_job	10		✓	0.00876	0	0.0324
69	pai_job	10		✗	0.959	0	0
70	high_school	103		✓	0.0706	0	0
70	high_school	103		✗	0.929	0	0
71	school_graduat	0		✓	0	0	0
71	school_graduat	0		✗	1	0	0
72	graduat_rate	0		✓	0.000398	0	0.000597
72	graduat_rate	0		✗	0.999	0	0
73	republican_senat	14		✓	0.00398	0	0.00677
73	republican_senat	14		✗	0.989	0	0.000597
74	high_school	9		✓	0.0117	0	0
74	high_school	9		✗	0.988	0	0
75	school_student	0		✓	0.000597	0	0
75	school_student	0		✗	0.999	0	0
76	rural_commun	16		✓	0.337	0	0.000597
76	rural_commun	16		✗	0.662	0	0
77	high_school	29		✓	0.0378	0	0
77	high_school	29		✗	0.962	0	0
78	school_student	0		✓	0.000398	0	0
78	school_student	0		✗	1	0	0
79	arn_duncan	39		✓	0.041	0	0
79	arn_duncan	39		✗	0.959	0	0
80	public_school	6		✓	0.00577	0	0.000995
80	public_school	6		✗	0.993	0	0
81	year_ago	38		✓	0.618	0.00338	0.286
81	year_ago	38		✗	0.0919	0	0.000796
82	unit_state	36		✓	0.354	0.000199	0.0115
82	unit_state	36		✗	0.587	0	0.0476
83	__NUM___centuri	18		✓	0.0963	0	0.00159
83	__NUM___centuri	18		✗	0.888	0	0.0139
84	school_system	5		✓	0.00856	0	0.000796
84	school_system	5		✗	0.977	0	0.0133
85	__NUM___centuri	3		✓	0.00498	0	0.00259
85	__NUM___centuri	3		✗	0.979	0	0.0137
86	school_fund	30		✓	0.0617	0.0173	0.0663
86	school_fund	30		✗	0.84	0	0.0149
87	unit_state	93		✓	0.904	0	0.0302
87	unit_state	93		✗	0.0615	0	0.00398
88	same_kind	18		✓	0.0965	0.000199	0.00259
88	same_kind	18		✗	0.895	0	0.00577
89	nation_level	5		✓	0.0241	0	0.000199
89	nation_level	5		✗	0.972	0	0.00398
90	charter_school	16		✓	0.387	0.000199	0.00955
90	charter_school	16		✗	0.603	0	0.000995
91	tough_time	24		✓	0.8	0	0.000995
91	tough_time	24		✗	0.199	0	0
92	charter_school	5		✓	0.0205	0	0
92	charter_school	5		✗	0.98	0	0
93	nation_governor	27		✓	0.00677	0	0
93	nation_governor	27		✗	0.993	0	0
94	charter_school	5		✓	0.00119	0	0
94	charter_school	5		✗	0.999	0	0
95	school_dai	42		✓	0.0529	0.00119	0.00557
95	school_dai	42		✗	0.94	0	0
96	unit_state	24		✓	0.25	0	0.00318
96	unit_state	24		✗	0.746	0	0.000199
97	school_system	7		✓	0.0117	0	0
97	school_system	7		✗	0.988	0	0
98	__NUM___centuri	3		✓	0.00279	0	0
98	__NUM___centuri	3		✗	0.997	0	0
99	full_potenti	55		✓	0.0665	0.000199	0.000199
99	full_potenti	55		✗	0.933	0	0
100	public_school	143		✓	0.0764	0	0
100	public_school	143		✗	0.924	0	0
101	school_student	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
101	school_student	0		✗	1	0	0
102	__NUM___centuri	9		✓	0.00318	0	0.000199
102	__NUM___centuri	9		✗	0.997	0	0
103	import_factor	90		✓	0.0183	0	0
103	import_factor	90		✗	0.982	0	0
104	special_educ	56		✓	0.0121	0	0
104	special_educ	56		✗	0.988	0	0
105	children_live	72		✓	0.0768	0	0
105	children_live	72		✗	0.923	0	0
106	school_board	45		✓	0.0189	0.000199	0
106	school_board	45		✗	0.981	0	0
107	perform_pai	5		✓	0.00836	0.00299	0.00816
107	perform_pai	5		✗	0.98	0.000199	0
108	poor_job	48		✓	0.206	0.0149	0.0553
108	poor_job	48		✗	0.717	0.00179	0.00478
109	good_teacher	18		✓	0.495	0	0.000398
109	good_teacher	18		✗	0.504	0.000199	0.000796
110	school_choic	62		✓	0.146	0.000199	0.00279
110	school_choic	62		✗	0.851	0	0.000199
111	govern_account	119		✓	0.256	0.00259	0.0844
111	govern_account	119		✗	0.656	0	0.00119
112	unit_state	56		✓	0.3	0	0.00458
112	unit_state	56		✗	0.692	0	0.00259
113	tax_dollar	10		✓	0.0223	0	0
113	tax_dollar	10		✗	0.978	0	0
114	dollar_spent	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
114	dollar_spent	0		✗	1	0	0
115	tax_dollar	42		✓	0.0217	0	0.00259
115	tax_dollar	42		✗	0.976	0	0
116	educ_polici	43		✓	0.0338	0	0.00219
116	educ_polici	43		✗	0.964	0	0
117	govern_program	42		✓	0.0708	0.000199	0.0197
117	govern_program	42		✗	0.909	0	0
118	video_game	11		✓	0.0251	0	0.000995
118	video_game	11		✗	0.968	0	0.00617
119	pai_job	93		✓	0.109	0	0.244
119	pai_job	93		✗	0.644	0	0.00318
120	govern_account	21		✓	0.143	0.00259	0.0145
120	govern_account	21		✗	0.723	0	0.117
121	gi_bill	65		✓	0.852	0	0
121	gi_bill	65		✗	0.148	0	0
122	colleg_degre	27		✓	0.0965	0	0.000398
122	colleg_degre	27		✗	0.903	0	0
123	south_side	68		✓	0.334	0	0
123	south_side	68		✗	0.666	0	0
124	young_boi	121		✓	0.0332	0.000199	0.000796
124	young_boi	121		✗	0.966	0	0
125	bill_gate	45		✓	0.195	0.00617	0.0372
125	bill_gate	45		✗	0.761	0	0.000597
126	educ_system	30		✓	0.809	0	0.000398
126	educ_system	30		✗	0.19	0	0
127	unit_state	4		✓	0.0169	0	0.00179
127	unit_state	4		✗	0.981	0	0.000398
128	skill_worker	48		✓	0.158	0.000199	0.000199
128	skill_worker	48		✗	0.842	0	0
129	educ_system	21		✓	0.0689	0	0.000199
129	educ_system	21		✗	0.931	0	0
130	__NUM___centuri	3		✓	0.0109	0	0.000796
130	__NUM___centuri	3		✗	0.988	0	0.000199
131	economi_grow	54		✓	0.274	0	0.0217
131	economi_grow	54		✗	0.704	0	0.000199
132	previou_gener	13		✓	0.0565	0.000199	0.00119
132	previou_gener	13		✗	0.939	0	0.00358
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	39

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation