Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	__NUM___mile	6		✓	0.833	0.00199	0.165
1	__NUM___mile	6		✗	0	0	0
2	fellow_citizen	18		✓	0.116	0.00199	0.0117
2	fellow_citizen	18		✗	0.77	0.00139	0.0985
3	health_care	3		✓	0.0667	0	0.00498
3	health_care	3		✗	0.869	0	0.0591
4	care_worker	0		✓	0.00438	0.000199	0.000199
4	care_worker	0		✗	0.932	0	0.0633
5	health_care	2		✓	0.0503	0	0.000398
5	health_care	2		✗	0.917	0	0.032
6	predatori_lend	7		✓	0.0691	0	0
6	predatori_lend	7		✗	0.931	0	0.000398
7	__NUM___year	7		✓	0.0299	0	0.000398
7	__NUM___year	7		✗	0.97	0	0
8	great_depress	20		✓	0.0734	0	0.00179
8	great_depress	20		✗	0.925	0	0.000199
9	foreign_countri	5		✓	0.0163	0.000597	0.00796
9	foreign_countri	5		✗	0.973	0	0.00219
10	big_corpor	73		✓	0.266	0.000796	0.000199
10	big_corpor	73		✗	0.733	0	0.000199
11	class_america	66		✓	0.216	0.00179	0.0161
11	class_america	66		✗	0.766	0	0
12	averag_wage	52		✓	0.00736	0.00498	0.00955
12	averag_wage	52		✗	0.965	0.00179	0.0109
13	wage_worker	0		✓	0	0	0.000199
13	wage_worker	0		✗	0.973	0.00677	0.0205
14	top___NUM__	24		✓	0.00279	0	0.000796
14	top___NUM__	24		✗	0.971	0.00517	0.0205
15	incom_earner	1		✓	0.000597	0	0
15	incom_earner	1		✗	0.974	0.00458	0.0213
16	bottom___NUM__	8		✓	0.0241	0	0
16	bottom___NUM__	8		✗	0.974	0.000199	0.00159
17	__NUM___million	0		✓	0.00219	0	0
17	__NUM___million	0		✗	0.998	0	0.000199
18	past___NUM___year	7		✓	0.00915	0	0.000199
18	past___NUM___year	7		✗	0.991	0	0
19	__NUM___time	26		✓	0.00458	0	0.000199
19	__NUM___time	26		✗	0.995	0	0
20	north_carolina	11		✓	0.0107	0.000199	0.00856
20	north_carolina	11		✗	0.98	0	0
21	__NUM___million_american	23		✓	0.893	0.000398	0
21	__NUM___million_american	23		✗	0.107	0	0
22	american_live	1		✓	0.00856	0	0
22	american_live	1		✗	0.991	0	0
23	incom_dispar	7		✓	0.0285	0.000398	0.00119
23	incom_dispar	7		✗	0.97	0	0
24	__NUM___million_american	2		✓	0.0119	0	0
24	__NUM___million_american	2		✗	0.988	0	0
25	health_care	4		✓	0.0187	0	0.00657
25	health_care	4		✗	0.974	0	0.000398
26	georg_bush	14		✓	0.045	0.000398	0.0915
26	georg_bush	14		✗	0.856	0	0.00716
27	__NUM___year_ago	94		✓	0.359	0.0139	0.0247
27	__NUM___year_ago	94		✗	0.595	0	0.00716
28	tax_code	72		✓	0.000796	0.977	0.000796
28	tax_code	72		✗	0.00736	0.0145	0
29	washington_establish	15		✓	0.00119	0.0125	0.00358
29	washington_establish	15		✗	0.00378	0.978	0.000995
30	make_monei	21		✓	0	0.0209	0
30	make_monei	21		✗	0	0.979	0
31	hard_work	2		✓	0	0.00199	0
31	hard_work	2		✗	0	0.998	0
32	higher_tax	4		✓	0.000199	0.00279	0
32	higher_tax	4		✗	0	0.997	0
33	make_monei	5		✓	0.00279	0.00657	0
33	make_monei	5		✗	0.000199	0.99	0
34	fight_back	8		✓	0.26	0.00597	0.00458
34	fight_back	8		✗	0.0219	0.707	0.000995
35	american_dream	3		✓	0.475	0.000199	0
35	american_dream	3		✗	0.354	0.171	0
36	special_privileg	9		✓	0.161	0.000398	0.000597
36	special_privileg	9		✗	0.809	0.0285	0
37	corpor_interest	49		✓	0.183	0.000199	0.0111
37	corpor_interest	49		✗	0.805	0.000398	0.000199
38	american_peopl	10		✓	0.0366	0	0.00398
38	american_peopl	10		✗	0.952	0	0.00756
39	wall_street	3		✓	0.0185	0.00955	0.00139
39	wall_street	3		✗	0.965	0.000597	0.00498
40	main_street	2		✓	0.0123	0.000597	0.000199
40	main_street	2		✗	0.973	0.00935	0.00438
41	pharmaceut_compani	1		✓	0.0105	0	0.000199
41	pharmaceut_compani	1		✗	0.981	0.00398	0.00398
42	corpor_power	39		✓	0.15	0.000995	0
42	corpor_power	39		✗	0.849	0	0
43	same_peopl	3		✓	0.0143	0.00756	0.000199
43	same_peopl	3		✗	0.977	0.00139	0
44	american_dream	28		✓	0.0977	0.00836	0.000597
44	american_dream	28		✗	0.885	0.00856	0
45	materi_thing	33		✓	0.105	0.0185	0.0354
45	materi_thing	33		✗	0.825	0.0159	0.000398
46	power_forc	51		✓	0.245	0.00398	0.00537
46	power_forc	51		✗	0.727	0.0151	0.00378
47	adult_life	17		✓	0.0756	0.000199	0.0295
47	adult_life	17		✗	0.883	0.00378	0.00816
48	special_interest	18		✓	0.084	0	0.0213
48	special_interest	18		✗	0.87	0	0.0249
49	american_peopl	14		✓	0.0645	0	0.00498
49	american_peopl	14		✗	0.904	0	0.0261
50	american_dream	11		✓	0.0553	0.031	0.000199
50	american_dream	11		✗	0.911	0.000597	0.00159
51	countri_back	107		✓	0.0143	0.756	0.169
51	countri_back	107		✗	0.0318	0.0281	0.000796
52	tax_system	60		✓	0.00279	0.245	0.000995
52	tax_system	60		✗	0.00219	0.746	0.00259
53	trade_agreement	12		✓	0.0145	0.00955	0.000199
53	trade_agreement	12		✗	0.00458	0.971	0.000199
54	corpor_respons	7		✓	0	0.0233	0
54	corpor_respons	7		✗	0.000597	0.976	0
55	tax_code	17		✓	0	0.0133	0
55	tax_code	17		✗	0.000597	0.986	0
56	work_american	29		✓	0.343	0.0111	0
56	work_american	29		✗	0.00736	0.639	0
57	tax_break	9		✓	0.188	0.00279	0.000199
57	tax_break	9		✗	0.351	0.458	0
58	big_corpor	3		✓	0.324	0.000796	0
58	big_corpor	3		✗	0.587	0.088	0
59	special_interest	49		✓	0.215	0.000398	0.0133
59	special_interest	49		✗	0.765	0.00617	0
60	monei_manag	3		✓	0.0183	0.00358	0.000597
60	monei_manag	3		✗	0.965	0.00617	0.00677
61	factori_worker	7		✓	0.0157	0	0
61	factori_worker	7		✗	0.976	0.00836	0
62	tax_code	12		✓	0.00378	0.000796	0
62	tax_code	12		✗	0.987	0.00796	0
63	work_famili	11		✓	0.00716	0	0
63	work_famili	11		✗	0.988	0.00438	0
64	middl_class	22		✓	0.846	0.0593	0
64	middl_class	22		✗	0.0945	0.000199	0
65	class_famili	0		✓	0.00736	0.000398	0
65	class_famili	0		✗	0.935	0.0577	0
66	work_hard	2		✓	0.00796	0.0241	0.000597
66	work_hard	2		✗	0.908	0.0589	0
67	bush_administr	34		✓	0.0492	0.371	0.171
67	bush_administr	34		✗	0.326	0.0822	0.000796
68	fair_share	6		✓	0.00537	0.355	0.000597
68	fair_share	6		✗	0.178	0.455	0.00677
69	tax_cut	11		✓	0.0295	0.0127	0.000199
69	tax_cut	11		✗	0.171	0.786	0.000796
70	nest_egg	35		✓	0.00915	0.163	0.00119
70	nest_egg	35		✗	0.047	0.779	0.000398
71	tax_code	19		✓	0.00458	0.0187	0
71	tax_code	19		✗	0.049	0.928	0.000199
72	american_famili	34		✓	0.357	0.0165	0.00299
72	american_famili	34		✗	0.0581	0.566	0
73	young_person	58		✓	0.582	0.00338	0.0386
73	young_person	58		✗	0.337	0.0388	0.000597
74	north_carolina	47		✓	0.181	0.000597	0.0346
74	north_carolina	47		✗	0.765	0.00219	0.0161
75	work_part	18		✓	0.0581	0.000199	0.000199
75	work_part	18		✗	0.937	0.00159	0.00299
76	north_carolina	9		✓	0.00378	0	0
76	north_carolina	9		✗	0.992	0.00159	0.00299
77	tax_credit	37		✓	0.00776	0	0
77	tax_credit	37		✗	0.992	0	0
78	save_account	3		✓	0.000398	0	0
78	save_account	3		✗	1	0	0
79	work_famili	12		✓	0.00119	0	0
79	work_famili	12		✗	0.999	0	0
80	tax_code	3		✓	0	0	0
80	tax_code	3		✗	1	0	0
81	save_account	24		✓	0.000597	0	0
81	save_account	24		✗	0.999	0	0
82	tax_break	11		✓	0.00657	0.000199	0
82	tax_break	11		✗	0.993	0	0
83	work_famili	2		✓	0.000199	0	0
83	work_famili	2		✗	1	0	0
84	earn_incom	3		✓	0	0	0
84	earn_incom	3		✗	1	0	0
85	incom_famili	13		✓	0.00617	0	0
85	incom_famili	13		✗	0.994	0	0
86	child_care	18		✓	0.000796	0	0
86	child_care	18		✗	0.999	0	0
87	tax_credit	1		✓	0	0	0
87	tax_credit	1		✗	1	0	0
88	child_care	9		✓	0.000995	0	0
88	child_care	9		✗	0.999	0	0
89	care_cost	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
89	care_cost	0		✗	1	0	0
90	work_famili	14		✓	0.000597	0	0
90	work_famili	14		✗	0.999	0	0
91	earn_incom	12		✓	0.000995	0	0
91	earn_incom	12		✗	0.999	0	0
92	incom_tax_credit	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
92	incom_tax_credit	0		✗	1	0	0
93	child_care	5		✓	0.000597	0	0
93	child_care	5		✗	0.999	0	0
94	work_poor	5		✓	0.0312	0.174	0.000398
94	work_poor	5		✗	0.795	0	0
95	middl_class	2		✓	0.0573	0.473	0
95	middl_class	2		✗	0.295	0.174	0
96	tax_system	24		✓	0.000597	0.26	0.000398
96	tax_system	24		✗	0.102	0.637	0
97	middl_class	22		✓	0.0157	0.0567	0
97	middl_class	22		✗	0.0454	0.882	0
98	capit_gain	26		✓	0	0.075	0
98	capit_gain	26		✗	0.00139	0.924	0
99	bush_tax_cut	48		✓	0.0137	0.0388	0
99	bush_tax_cut	48		✗	0.000199	0.947	0
100	famili_earn	3		✓	0	0.00876	0.000199
100	famili_earn	3		✗	0.00677	0.984	0
101	capit_gain	12		✓	0	0.0159	0
101	capit_gain	12		✗	0	0.984	0
102	gain_tax	19		✓	0	0.0119	0
102	gain_tax	19		✗	0	0.988	0
103	tax_rate	0		✓	0	0.00119	0
103	tax_rate	0		✗	0	0.999	0
104	fair_share	12		✓	0.000199	0.00557	0
104	fair_share	12		✗	0	0.994	0
105	tax_code	9		✓	0	0.00697	0
105	tax_code	9		✗	0	0.993	0
106	estat_tax	14		✓	0.00239	0.00975	0.000199
106	estat_tax	14		✗	0	0.988	0
107	middl_class	11		✓	0.00776	0.00657	0
107	middl_class	11		✗	0.00279	0.983	0
108	small_busi	3		✓	0.000995	0.00179	0.00239
108	small_busi	3		✗	0.0101	0.984	0.000796
109	busi_owner	0		✓	0.000398	0.000398	0.00597
109	busi_owner	0		✗	0.0107	0.976	0.00617
110	hundr_thousand	16		✓	0.00279	0.0121	0.0432
110	hundr_thousand	16		✗	0.00318	0.927	0.0117
111	__MONEY___million	9		✓	0.00179	0.00816	0.0159
111	__MONEY___million	9		✗	0.00378	0.919	0.0509
112	fair_tax	8		✓	0.000597	0.0695	0.000398
112	fair_tax	8		✗	0.000398	0.924	0.00557
113	tax_system	0		✓	0	0.00219	0
113	tax_system	0		✗	0.00119	0.993	0.00378
114	declar_war	29		✓	0.000199	0.0257	0
114	declar_war	29		✗	0.000796	0.972	0.000995
115	tax_haven	3		✓	0	0.00378	0
115	tax_haven	3		✗	0.000995	0.995	0
116	work_peopl	20		✓	0.0346	0.0127	0.0356
116	work_peopl	20		✗	0.00219	0.914	0.000995
117	hedg_fund	17		✓	0	0.0834	0.000597
117	hedg_fund	17		✗	0	0.913	0.00299
118	privat_equiti	2		✓	0.000597	0.00279	0
118	privat_equiti	2		✗	0.000199	0.995	0.00159
119	capit_gain	8		✓	0	0.00856	0
119	capit_gain	8		✗	0.000597	0.99	0.000398
120	__MONEY___billion	67		✓	0.981	0	0.00259
120	__MONEY___billion	67		✗	0.0101	0.00597	0
121	health_care	7		✓	0.0295	0.000398	0.00557
121	health_care	7		✗	0.958	0.00358	0.00299
122	work_hard	62		✓	0.126	0.405	0.00418
122	work_hard	62		✗	0.461	0.00418	0
123	tax_code	15		✓	0.00438	0.54	0.000398
123	tax_code	15		✗	0.0474	0.407	0
124	corpor_respons	35		✓	0.00318	0.0328	0
124	corpor_respons	35		✗	0.0442	0.92	0
125	trade_deal	35		✓	0.91	0.00239	0
125	trade_deal	35		✗	0.0235	0.0641	0
126	work_hard	68		✓	0.264	0.00478	0.00119
126	work_hard	68		✗	0.718	0.0115	0
127	american_peopl	28		✓	0.11	0	0.00736
127	american_peopl	28		✗	0.882	0	0.000597
128	trade_polici	15		✓	0.0569	0	0
128	trade_polici	15		✗	0.943	0	0
129	gener_ago	24		✓	0.0846	0.00418	0.00338
129	gener_ago	24		✗	0.908	0.000199	0
130	corpor_america	2		✓	0.0239	0.00478	0
130	corpor_america	2		✗	0.966	0.00438	0.00119
131	strong_sens	23		✓	0.0519	0.398	0.00537
131	strong_sens	23		✗	0.535	0.00955	0
132	american_worker	7		✓	0.0394	0.00438	0.000398
132	american_worker	7		✗	0.573	0.382	0.000995
133	tax_code	47		✓	0.000199	0.622	0.000995
133	tax_code	47		✗	0.00179	0.375	0
134	lower_tax	40		✓	0.00119	0.0354	0.00199
134	lower_tax	40		✗	0	0.961	0.000199
135	tax_rate	0		✓	0.000199	0.000597	0.000199
135	tax_rate	0		✗	0.00119	0.995	0.00239
136	unit_state	35		✓	0.162	0	0.814
136	unit_state	35		✗	0.00458	0.000199	0.0193
137	american_peopl	10		✓	0.0368	0.000995	0.0418
137	american_peopl	10		✗	0.153	0.000199	0.767
138	fair_share	61		✓	0.0149	0.97	0.00119
138	fair_share	61		✗	0.00836	0.00378	0.00159
139	hard_work	6		✓	0.00358	0.00498	0
139	hard_work	6		✗	0.0213	0.968	0.00179
140	love_america	82		✓	0.0177	0.0603	0.0774
140	love_america	82		✗	0.00577	0.837	0.00219
141	oval_offic	63		✓	0.084	0.0119	0.638
141	oval_offic	63		✗	0.00796	0.193	0.0651
142	american_peopl	6		✓	0.0326	0	0.195
142	american_peopl	6		✗	0.0774	0.00259	0.692
143	god_bless	18		✓	0.00856	0	0.0955
143	god_bless	18		✗	0.0708	0	0.825
144	god_bless_america	2		✓	0.00139	0	0.00816
144	god_bless_america	2		✗	0.0782	0	0.912
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	2

John Edwards

Cue-lag representation